The Boston Red Sox have only a 12.6 percent chance of qualifying after the season

Rejoice, world, because the Red Sox are bad

Rejoice, world, because the Red Sox are bad
Photo: Getty Images

The Red Sox won 92 games last season and went to the ALCS. They had a pretty big turnaround in the offseason, losing Eduardo Rodriguez, Kyle Schwarber and Hunter Renfrow in the vacancy, but Boston also added Michael Wacha and Rich Hill to the rotation, said Jackie Bradley Jr. to return to their field and sign Trevor Story to make the squad that scored the fourth highest number of points in the American League last year even more dangerous.

With $ 205 million in salaries, the Sox were sure contenders even in the tough American League East. Or, it turns out, it’s not so sure.

According to the Baseball Reference, Boston’s chances of entering the playoffs – The extended playoffs this year, now with three wild cards – are currently 12.6 percent. That’s even compared to the widely assumed no chance of the Rocky Mountains (12.5 percent) and well below those who don’t even try (21.4 percent).

Why is it so awful, even though it’s so early, 31 games in a season of 162 games? This is the depth of the hole Boston dug. Odds are also not just based on the current record: the Orioles, who currently have two games ahead of the Red Sox, still have perhaps too high a 0.2 percent chance of baseball in October. Boston still has a good team, but it will be almost impossible for the Red Sox to recover from their terrible start.

It’s not really a terrible start. Boston slipped out the door 6-5, losing two of three at Yankee Stadium, but then won a series in Detroit and split a set of four games with the Twins. Everything is fine. After beating the Blue Jays 2-1 at Fenway on April 19 to top the .500 for the first and only time this season (and a tie for first place), the wheels fell completely. Boston has not had a losing streak of more than five games, but has also not won consecutive games in the midfield of this Twins series.

Orlando Arsia’s relegation from Homer to Atlanta on Wednesday night dropped the Sox to 5-15 in the last three weeks, and their overall record of 11-20 means that in order to reach 90 wins, Boston must play at a rate of 97 wins. the rest of the season. It’s hardly impossible, but the degree of difficulty when your unbalanced schedule includes New York, Tampa Bay and Toronto … well, the games against the Orioles don’t balance that.

Story finally hit his first Homer in a Red Sox uniform on Wednesday, bringing him to .206 / .281 / .304 with 37 strikes in 102 bats. You’d think the easiest setting to leave Coors Field would be to go to the pinball machine, which is Fenway Park, but Story is also 8-for-45 at home with 21 K.

For his career Story is a striker .299 / .365 / .592 at home and .241 / .311 / .438 at home. DJ LeMahieu showed with the Yankees that he may not be a creation of Coors and the division of his career is just as drastic, even after four years outside of Colorado – albeit in an equally convenient for strikers “Futsal football field“In the Bronx.

Story is not the first free agent – especially the first late-signed free agent – to start unsuccessfully with his new club. So what’s the excuse for…

  • C Christian Vazquez: .215 / .274 / .292, 1 HR
  • 1B Bobby Dalbeck: .148 / .231 / .222, 1 HR
  • LF Alex Verdugo: .216 / .260 / .333, 3 HR
  • CF Enrique Hernandez: .161 / .232 / .259, 1 HR
  • RF Jackie Bradley Jr.: .198 / .270 / .286, 0 ​​HR

Boston went from the fourth highest number of points in the American League to the fourth smaller and with the injured Hill and Wach, the pass is quite meager, serving 34 Homer, while making 3.4 walks in nine innings.

And while some of the fighting Sox will do, Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers, who wear Boston, won’t be as hot all year. What they will be is miserable, because even though it’s early, Boston already has 11 games from first place and 5.5 games outside the playoffs means it will be a long summer, trying to catch up with too many good teams that are already are too far away.

Related Posts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.