As Mauricio Pochettino is ready to leave Paris Saint-Germain, an innovative analysis of the data, conducted in an in-depth review of the leading candidates to succeed him, concluded that Zinedine Zidane, not Jose Mourinho, should be the French club’s first choice.
The club that is close finalizing the departure of head coach Pochettino, however, they seem to go with a completely different option and are close to a deal agreement for the boss of Nice Christophe Galtier.
This happened after PSG’s Pochettino won Ligue 1 with 15 points, but once again failed to make it to the Champions League, where they were eliminated in the final 16th phase by Real Madrid.
Zidane and Mourinho were among the bookmakers’ favorites to replace Pochettino, but Galtie is now in the lead after PSG president Nasser Al-Helaifi said Paris: “We chose another option. We chose a coach who will be the best for what we want to implement.”
It was rumored that Marcelo Gallardo of River Plate was also involved, but which of these managers would be best suited to bring success to PSG? This is the question that Carteret Analytics is considering as part of a special study Sky Sports.
Carteret Analytics combines raw manager data with its own custom algorithms to come up with the Carteret Manager Rating, a tool used by football club decision-makers to assess the ability, quality and potential of future management appointments.
The complex analysis is based on the performance of managers over the last six seasons and then weighs against expectations, the strength of opposition parties and various other factors such as styles and formations.
This is usually confidential information to support the leaders of football clubs, but here we can share their research with the main candidates of PSG.
The comparison of Pochettino with Zidane, Mourinho, Galtie, Gallardo and – for comparison – the head of Real Madrid, who won the Champions League Carlo Ancelotti, led to some striking conclusions:
- Pochettino’s statistics are very good, suggesting subjective reasons or reasons for a relationship that may have led to his departure – or a lack of patience on the part of PSG owners regarding their pursuit of the Champions League
- If winning the Champions League is a priority, Zidane with some difference is the best option.
- Mourinho’s analysis distances him from the level of Zidane, Pochettino and Ancelotti
- Galtie’s extremely defensive style contrasts with PSG’s usual approach, while Gallardo would be appointed at high risk given the quality of the league in which he currently works.
Top rated managers
After all the fuss, the three-time Champions League manager Zidane is the one who has the highest score in the analysis of Carteret Analytics.
The Real Madrid legend has the highest normalized rating of Carteret Manager – 524.5. It is followed by Pochettino (493.0), followed by Ancelotti (469.1), Mourinho (383.6), Galtie (339.8) and Galardo (266.6).
To put these figures in context, Mourinho’s performance levels are about 28 percent lower than Pochettino’s in the last six seasons, despite success in the Europa League with Roma at the end of last season.
Looking at how these managers present themselves in matches, Pochettino sets the standard. He excels at Carteret Analytics’ Strategic Intelligence and Tactical Command scores, which measure how well a manager sets up a team to win a game and how well he can turn the game to his advantage in the 90’s.
He is closely followed by Ancelotti and Zidane, but Mourinho has the lowest score on both indicators.
Who fits the style of PSG?
PSG has experience in the game of attractive football and this style is a priority, given the investment with big money in attacking players such as Lionel Messi, Neymar and Killian Mbape.
Pochettino’s high attack factor (25.14) was slightly improved by Zidane (25.73) and Ancelotti (26.46). However, Gallardo (21.86) and Mourinho (20.74) offer a more modest attacking approach, and Galtier’s extremely defensive style (13.88) suggests that PSG will make a big change in their game if they turn to him.
Honorable in PSG: “Football was bad, the away form was terrible, he never made Neymar-Messi-Mbape work”
Julien Laurens, French football journalist in Transfer Talk Podcast:
“Mauricio Pochettino has known for some time. After the defeat of Real Madrid in the rematch of 1/16 of the Champions League, it was obvious that he would be fired, even with the year in his contract.
“It’s been 18 months for him at the club and yes, he won the league title, but everyone would win the title with this team. The style of football was bad, except for 20 minutes here or there. He always said, “I need more time for Messi and Mbape to click and get used to each other’s gel,” but it was bad anyway.
“The most shocking part was the form as a guest in the league. It was terrible – they did not win as a guest against the eight teams below them in the championship – how is that possible? They did not win in Marseille, Lyon, Monaco – which you can understand – but there are also Nantes, Rennes and Strasbourg.
“For a team like PSG to go like that with Mbape, Messi and the others and not win in these eight games is just crazy. He did not cope with Leonardo, the sports director, which did not help.
“It’s a shame because it was such a good story: the former captain of the club returns as one of the best young managers in the match to lead this team to triumph in the Champions League. All we will remember is that he never succeeded. The incredible front three, which was supposed to be the best in world football, never happened between Neymar, Messi and Mbape.
“He wants to return to England in the Premier League. His wife and two boys stayed there, his two boys are players in England. The problem is that the first six jobs are occupied – and probably occupied for a long time. “It’s too big a step to go to a weaker club like Leicester if Brendan Rodgers is fired. But he has big ambitions and wants to get one of those top jobs.”