Overturning Roe is highly unpopular in battleground states, giving Democrats an opportunity with key voters

More voters identify as pro-abortion-rights than as Democrats, making abortion an important issue for attracting swing voters

Washington, DC – Today, MoveOn Political Action released new research from battleground states showing that the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade is very unpopular and gives Democrats an opportunity with key voters.

The study was field-based before The US Supreme Court published its decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Orgmaking it more likely that the data has subsequently shifted to further increase the urgency with which voters view abortion rights and their willingness to engage with the issue.

“If we want to restore abortion rights and prevent Republicans from passing a national abortion ban, we must fight to hold the House and add two Democratic senators who will prioritize abortion rights over the filibuster,” said MoveOn Political Action Executive Director Rana Epting. “Democrats talking about abortion rights aren’t just motivating core voters — it’s a hugely important issue for swing voters, too.”

“The electorate in several battleground states — such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — supports abortion far more than conventional political wisdom suggests.” said Lake Research Partners President Celinda Lake. “More voters in these states identify as pro-abortion rights than as Democrats, making abortion a key issue for attracting voter support.”

Other findings include:

  • The decision of the Supreme Court to set aside Roe v. Wade ran counter to public sentiment in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
  • Democrats and abortion rights voters are a lot motivated to come out in November in support of candidates who will protect people’s right to abortion. Also, Democrats and pro-abortion-rights voters are much more likely to vote in response to the repeal decision Rowe and a possible ban on abortion in their state than Republicans or voters who oppose abortion in all or most circumstances.
  • While it’s true that there are many issues vying for voters’ attention right now, not the least of which are gas prices and inflation, polls show voters are ready to hold lawmakers accountable in November for providing or limiting access to abortion.

MoveOn commissioned Lake Research Partners to design and administer an online survey of 300 likely 2022 voters in each of the four battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — and 200 Democratic voters in the four states. The survey was conducted from June 6 to 14, 2022. The margin of error for each state is +/-5.7%.

You can find the full voting note TIMES.


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